`Matt 'Trumpets' Ragsdale dissects the Spanish GP
Ambient 20° Track 42° Humidity 60%
Wind 2.6 m/s
Prelude
The sun hammered down through brilliant
blue skies, as the paddock ground through their pre-race activities
and journos roamed free and wild through the paddock, chasing
whispers and rumours as the start of the race fast approached. And
there was much to consider, starting with Hulkenberg's admission post
quali that Renault strapped on an older spec wing to get him through
after he removed his by cleverly driving into a wall. After a team
reported this violation of parc ferme to the FIA, Renault tried
walking it back by saying that indeed the wings were "similar,
but the FIA were having none of it and he was relegated to a pitlane
start and Renault decided to go ahead and gift him a new PU because
why not at that point. No word on which team dropped the dime, so
have fun speculating with that one....
Also putting new parts on the car,
albeit WITH FIA permission, was Red Bull, who, after looking at the
data, decided to give both drivers new driveshafts under the like for
like rule that is the standard. The driveshaft has been a bit of a
weak spot for the design thus far, and better safe than sorry is not
a bad idea.
As for Ferrari, despite the new PU,
they were still radically off the pace from Mercedes over one lap,
and the only trick left for them was strategy, and, of course the
start. Fortunately, they had retained an extra set of new Mediums
which meant given the hotter temps on the day, a 2 stop was a
potentially available strategy for them, though a 1 stop should just
be assumed to be the favoured strategy at the sharp end. An early
stop and split strategy for Ferrari could make things interesting
indeed, especially with Red Bull looking to play the joker......
And one should never discount the
intramural conflict, as both Mercedes' drivers understand full well
that their entire result is quite likely to be shaped by the first 3
corners and they do have historic precedent for, well, shall we call
it entertainment at this track... That said, if the higher temps do
cause the tyres to overheat, that could hand an advantage back to
Lewis, who seems to have an advantage when the car is at the margins
of its performance window..
Regarding the midfield, with its quali
performance, HAAS has made a class of one, and the higher temps will
certainly help them get the heat into the tyres, an ongoing struggle
for their design this season. Of course, one lap pace doesn't always
translate to race pace, so it's not a done deal for the Sunday, and
the fight in the midfield holds promise, with Toro Rosso, McLaren and
Renault lined up behind along with Perez, genius at making tyres last
and not entirely bad at starts.
Also worth noting is the fact that this
is the last appearance of one Dr. Dieter Zetsche as Mercedes' boss,
as he departs with the aim of becoming chairman in 2021. Incoming CEO
Ola Kallenius has been rumoured to be not as big a fan of F1, and
particularly Toto Wolff, which has driven the rumour mill wild with
speculation, as there is a buyback clause that would allow Mercedes
to retake full control of the racing team, should they choose that
route... Raikkonen in P14 was starting on Mediums, along with Stroll,
Kubica, Russell and Hulkenberg as the formation lap got underway...
Summary
Lights Out!!!! Rocking Start by
Hamilton, as Bottas tried to close the door on him but it was too
late and then Vettel took advantage going outside and 3 wide into T1
they went. Massive lock up for Vettel and he went wide and off the
track, Bottas gaining the advantage despite a lurid moment as he got
on the power and lit up the rears. Rejoining, Vettel caused Leclerc
to check up and, taking advantage of Vettel's momentum loss,
Verstappen swept round the outside and into P3. Behind, Grosjean and
Magnussen were able to defend their P7 and P8 with failry little
drama.
Into the second lap it was Bottas
driving the action, setting fast lap and clearly trying to use his
push window to retake P1 from Hamilton. At Ferrari, the issues were
larger, with Vettel having severely flat spotted his front left in
his attempt into T1 and now with Verstappen ahead to boot.... Further
down it was Ricciardo within a second on Sainz for P11 and Stroll the
same on Perez for P13....
Lap 7 Giovinazzi in for Hards, an odd
choice indeed and trouble was already brewing for the Ferrari
strategists, as with his flat spot Leclerc was within DRS on Vettel
and looking racy indeed. Team orders? Not immediately as Vettel
continued to bleed time and Leclerc flexed his pace. Over and over
again, he got close and not a hint of intervention as on lap 11 it
was a half second a lap they gave up....
Lap 12 saw Leclerc let by, with a net
loss of around 2 seconds and now it was Leclerc, immediately setting
best first sector having been unleashed by Ferrari.. In the midfield,
Kvyat was tracking Kmag at about a second, but Grosjean was 4 seconds
ahead. Perez had gained 2 places but it was Ricciardo, unable to get
round the McLaren of Sainz and within DRS onlap 15 for P11...
Vettel was urging an early stop, with
the vibrations from the flat spot being an increasing problem for
him. Problematically, that would have put him out behind Albon, and
open the door for a Gasly overcut...
At the front, Hamilton was putting his
foot down, purpling the first sector and putting Bottas 4 seconds
down as the window for the 2 stop was just 4 laps off and Vettel was
increasingly urgent about his request for a stop...
Lap 19 and Leclerc chunked nearly half
a second out of Verstappen, and that took him under the 4 second
barrier and ever that much closer to a proper undercut. At the back,
Hulkenberg was the only real mover, up to P15 but with Stroll and
Perez up next, his hard work was just starting.
Lap 20 and Vettel was in, and a problem
with the rear left, losing an additional 2 seconds and putting him
out P10, behind both Kvyat and Albon. Ouch. Verstappen responded
immediately and was back out on Softs, definitive for a 2 stop as
Leclerc was promoted to P3. Bonus, he rocked out into the gap in
front of Grosjean and immediately set out to chase down Bottas.
Leclerc was now running half a second up on Bottas as everyone waited
to see Max's first times on the Softs. But it was Vettel, resetting
fastest S1 on his new set of Mediums.
Lap 22 and Gasly was in, dead on for a
2 stop according to Pirelli, back out int P9. Stroll was in as well
as lap 24 got underway. Unlike Verstappen, Gasly was onto some
Mediums but Stroll chose the Softs and another 2 stopper was
underway.
HAAS decided to play and brought in
Magnussen on lap 24 as Grosjean continued to set a representative
time on the Softs. Kmag was out just behind Norris in P14, but
crucially in front of Kvyat, who had been trapped behind Raikkonen
after his earlier stop. Ricciardo and Sainz were next in the pit stop
dominos as at the front it was Vettel setting fast lap and his
teammate winged into the pits on lap 26. He was back out on the Hard,
and another slow stop, rear left again, ahead of Vettel but behind
Grosjean.
Bottas was in and out then, lap 27 and
ahead of Verstappen, with another stop yet to do. Hamilton was in
next lap, also on a new set of Mediums, and back into the lead.
Leclerc was pushing, trying to trim his 11 second deficit to Bottas
and taking a half second on lap 28. Bottas responded the following
lap though and it was now all about Verstappen's pace after his
second stop.
In the midfield, Magnussen was into DRS
on Hulkenberg, who was running long and yet to stop. Vettel,
meanwhile, had caught up to Leclerc and again Ferrari was set upon
with a need to manage its drivers, with Vettel this time being the
one to lose time on a different strategy.
Lap 33 and Magnussen did the business
on Hulkenberg with Kvyat wasting no time at all following through,
leaving Albon with all the work to do. 3 laps later and it was Kvyat
on the attack, into Magnussen's DRS as they headed throught the final
sector and the long straight. As that battle developed, Leclerc
finally let Vettel by and it was his sector times that now became the
focus of attention. Kvyat slipped Kmag into T1 with DRS and he was
looking at nearly 8.5 seconds to Grosjean as Albon began to track him
down, the Toro Rosso's looking every bit the challenger on race pace
to HAAS.
Hamilton then radioed in to say that he
thought that it might be a stretch to get the Mediums to the end, but
looking at the times they were running one wondered if perhaps that
was more of a strategic call, than a real issue....
Magnussen meanwhile, was working hard
to keep Albon at bay, upping his lap times to match the young driver
both in the 1:22.6's. Their slow duel was interrupted by Vettel into
the pits on lap 41, using the second set of new Mediunms he had
available, and behind Gasly with 25 laps in the race...
Not for long, as Gasly got off line
fairly rapidly and the Ferrari driver executed the coup de grace with
utter ruthlessness... and wowser!!! Vettel's first full lap was in
the 20's, 2 seconds up on Hamilton. In came Verstappen then, as the
threat from behind was obvious. Out on lap 44 with a set of Mediums,
behind Leclerc and ahead of Vettel. Now it was getting interesting,
with a slightly slower Leclerc set to hold up Verstappen and Bottas'
free second stop under threat should Verstappen get by. In he came,
as Lewis cracked off a 1:20 in preparation for his stop. Out in front
of Leclerc as a yellow flag was out and then the Safety Car as Norris
and Stroll took each other out in T2. Bang!! immediate reset as
Hamilton's pit stop could worked out fairly well... both Bottas and
Hamilton were out on a set of Softs. Leclerc was then in and everyone
in the field was in for new tyres as they came into the pits.
On replay it was Norris keeping his
nose into T2 after not getting it done round T1 was the proximate
cause of the incident, but there was a heaping amount of stupid
involved and plenty for each participant. Keeping track, Verstappen
was on 4 lap Mediums and Vettel very much wanted to grab a set of new
Softs, as Hamilton complained of the slowness of the Safety Car. This
brought keeping the tyres in the window into focus, theoretically an
easier job with the Softs as Toro Ross was not ready for Albon and
that cost him a spot to Sainz. Lap 50 and the gaps were closed, with
Vettel not having gotten his fresh set of Softs as the lapped cars
were released to go round and a juicy restart beckoned.
It was a mad bucket of weaving,
adjusting brake balances and maintaining gaps as lap 52 kicked off
and the end of the Safety Car loomed large in everyone's wing
mirrors... In this lap was the call as they rolled through sector 2
with 14 laps left to run.
Off went Hamilton early, good gap but
it was Gasly on Leclerc and then a lockup for the Red Bull driver..
Magnussen by Grosjean as Romain locked up in similar fashion and then
the HAAS driver took advantage of Gasly's misstep and got side by
side with him for three consecutive turns, before Gasly got it
together and managed to stay clear for the moment, as Kmag stayed in
DRS. Grosjean wound up wide and was just able to get back in front of
Sainz.
The following lap Gasly began to pull
away and Grosjean had caught up to Kmag, less than half a second off
and nail biting time for Steiner et al as Grosjean clearly had pace
on Magnussen. After inspection, it looked to be contact between their
tyres that sent Grosjean off and no doubt a a cloud of f bombs on the
HAAS pitwall. Their battle allowed Sainz to edge in and lap 59 again
rubbed tyres sent Grosjean off again and the HAAS driver cut back
onto the track ahead of him. But DRS was hard to deny at this gap,
and the following lap Sainz flew round the outside and there was
nothing to be done for it.
Lap 60 then and it was Vettel, a second
and a half off Verstappen. 2 laps later and it was Kvyat, by Grosjean
and now his first haul of points was under serious threats as he was
down to P10. The team was saying no damage to his car, but the
message to Albon, chasing him down, was that he was struggling with
his tyres.
AS Grosjean gradually fell out of DRS
on Kvyat, Albon crept up slowly to his gearbox and lap 64 saw the
first serious effort, almost by but Grosjean covered the inside and
he wasn't quite able to get the job done. Ahead, his teammate was
able to slowly pull away from Sainz as Albon lost the DRS
temporarily.
Surprise, lap 66!!! Vettel was still 2
seconds back of Verstappen and it was last chance for Albon, too far
for a T1 lunge as ahead, Kvyat was half a second off Sainz. Checquers
then for Lewis, who had also brought home fast lap to even up the odd
point he was behind, followed by Bottas and Verstappen to round out
the podium. Vettel, Leclerc and Gasly were next then the cheeky Kmag.
Kvyat was ultimately unable to find a way round Sainz and it was
Grosjean just hanging on by his fingernails to bag his first
championship point. A big victory for him, but the fratricidal
restart cost HAAS a fair chunk of points they could ill afford. Happy
days for Red Bull, as Vettel's T1 gamble and Ferrari's indecision
paid off handsomely for them with a podium.
In the midfield, the three point loss
of a P7 P8 becoming a P7 P10 meant that they were 2 points back of
Racing Point instead of 1 ahead, albeit with positive indications
going forward. McLaren made the most of their late race restart and
extended their hold on P4 in the Constructor's championship and an
honourable mention then to Toro Rosso and Kvyat as well... Renault
and Alfa no doubt were off to lick their wounds, and at least in the
case of Renault, ponder their life choices. A position that Ferrari,
perhaps as well, found themselves in. Dominant drive for Mercedes,
and especially for Hamilton, who looked untroubled from the moment
the lights went out. Monaco up next, and with it's slow twisty nature
and Mercedes utter dominance of said corners is an ominous look
indeed.
Discuss!!!
And remember to play nice in the
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