Prelude
Montreal has long been a Hamilton
track, he has won 6 times, crushing the opposition mercilessly
relative to current drivers. But Qualifying is all about who's
fastest over a single lap, not a race distance and if you bloodlessly
evaluate the evidence from the Free Practices (minus one very
squished groundhog) Hamilton would be odds on favourite to win the
race, but no one should be betting on him for pole, as both Vettel
and Verstappen (assuming he doesn't bin it before his first run in
Q3), should have the means to beat him...
Circuit Gilles Villenueve sparkled in
the dense sunshine, the weather every bit the gloriousness one
expects Montreal to deliver this time of year. Mercedes on the
Ultrasofts looked positively terrifying but having brought just
enough Hypersofts for qualifying, it's clear that their focus is more
on race pace as Canada has a relatively low win percentage from pole
compared to, I don't know, let's say Monaco for example. So they most
certainly will try to make Q3 on the Ultra's as opposed to the
Hypers, with the only question being will Ferrari and Red Bull choose
to follow suit. Still, the lack of running on Hypers looks to have
penalised them relative to both Ferrari and Red Bull, and crucially
there was rather a lot of work being done to the front end of
Hamilton's car just before he set his fastest times. HE was dead
quickest in S1, just missed in S2 and was well off in S3, but he had
also done an aborted lap that saw him bail at the end of S1 so he
might have just enough in hand to pull it off. Should be
interesting.
An oil spill at T7 will also complicate
Q1, as it had been cleared but the drivers were advised with 10
minutes to go that the track would be "dusty". Another
unfortunate event is the lack of running Ricciardo had, after he
melted his MGU-K in Monaco. The unit was repaired, however, it seems
that his pace with the repaired engine was not evident in any of the
practices, though one could think it likely that they will stress his
PU as little as possible. In any event, he was unusually off the
pace, as was Bottas for Mercedes, who improved the least amongst all
the sharp end when he strapped on the softest of the tyres.
Force India seem to be having a it of a
resurgence, as they made the most of their updates and boardroom
politics aside, seemed to be ticking over quite nicely now they have
sorted the issues they had at the start of the season. Renault were
not far off and yet again, Gasly and the Toro Rosso turned up in the
top 10 and the end of FP3, where one might least expect them.
Summary
Things just aren't going @RGrosjean's way so far this season 😖#CanadianGP #F1 pic.twitter.com/04kj8AR9k4— Formula 1 (@F1) June 9, 2018
Green Light!! Goodness, RoGro's
engine let go in magnificent fashion with just 20 seconds gone from
the 18 minutes of the first session. Meanwhile, Leclerc, Magnussen,
Sirotkin Ericsson all carried on on their outlaps. Vettel and
Raikkonen were out and early days it was Sirotkin on top till Vettel
dethroned him with a stout 1:12.11.
11 Minutes to go and Mercedes were out
and about, with Bottas being first to set a time for the team.
Ricciardo was leading the way for RBR and got himself more than a bit
out of shape with his first effort, dodging traffic for added
entertainment and going P4 as Vettel chunked another 0.25 seconds off
his time, rocking a 1:11.725.
8 minutes to go and Ericsson just about
took out Verstappen as he visited the wall of champions with his Rght
Front suspension. Hamilton, with his first go had himself a massive
bit of oversteer and was forced to roll out and reset. Bottas had
gone P3 behind Raikkonen and Ricciardo slotted in behind him. Lewis
chucked it in again and was able to make P4 as his teammate had a
second go and was up to P3.
Verstappen, looking amazingly scrappy
took it across the line P4 and with 3 minutes left, it was time for
those at the back to start sweating. Kmag, Strol, Sirotkin, Ericsson
and of course the non-participating Grosjean were on the outside
looking in, as Hamilton started setting purple sectors with less than
2 minutes to go. Flat spot for Stroll took him out, and it was
McLaren under the gun as Alonso was P16 on his outlap and Vandoorne
had just kicked it off for his final go. Leclerc and Gasly were just
ahead of him as the checquers flew.
Leclerc jumped to P12, Gasly hit the
pits and was immediately excommunicated as Alonso brought it up to
P14, which dumped the Toro Rosso out. Lot of pace in the chassis left
with Hartley going P10, but perhaps Gasly not going to the new spec
PU had caught him out.
With the dust of T7 settled, it was
Gasly, Stroll, Sirotkin, Ericsson and Grosjean (curse of the
groundhog?) off in search of poutine with the rest turning it around
for Q2.
Kmag, Raikkonen and Vettel kicked off
the fun for Q2, wasting little time. Mercedes followed them out and
both the Ferrari and Mercedes were sporting Ultras rather than the
quickest Hypers, to the surprise of almost no one.
13 minutes to go and they were on it,
Raikkonen, Vettel, then Hamilton trading purples as they smashed
around the circuit in order. Vettel topped Raikkonen and it was just
the question of S3 as Hamilton flashed across the line, a lockup at
the hairpin dooming him to P3. That was rapidly converted to a P4 as
his teammate, who had been mostly nowhere, jumped up to the top with
a 1:11.514. Unlike the others at the sharp end, Red Bull chose to
rock out with the Hypers and with just under 10 minutes left, they
cranked it up for their hot laps. Personal bests and not purple
sectors, a trend that carried on throughout the lap, but divergent
results, with Ricciardo going P6 whilst Verstappen was up to P1,
eclipsing Vettel with a 1:11.472, just about matching his P3 time.
With 6 minutes left, Magnussen,
Hartley, Vandoorne, Alonso and Leclerc had it all to do whilst
Hulkenberg sat rather uncomfortably on the bubble. Given the damage
he did with his lockup, it was looking likely that Hamilton might yet
set another time. But no, the strategy was actually to go around on
the Hypers, use them if needed or bail to the pits, as Mercedes
headed back out to the track.
3 minutes to go and Ferrari decided
that WAS a good idea and followed Mercedes out as Leclerc took
advantage of a fairly empty track to improve to P13. Alonso was the
head of the queue rolling down the back straight as the clock ticked
down toward a minute. Personal bests for Alonso in the first 2
sectors as the drivers backing up for their laps interfered rather
seriously with Vettel's attempt at a lap.
Alonso, up to P14, Hartley P12 leaving
Magnussen the only one with a shot, but he fell short and it ended
the way it started, save for Ricciardo, who rocked up to P1, a rather
miraculous 0.038 seconds faster than Verstappen. Magnussen, Hartley,
Leclerc, Alonso and Vandorne retired for some Caesars while the
ultimate glories of Q3 beckoned for the rest.
Q3 kicked off with Hamilton leading the
way, trailed by Bottas. Raikkonen and Hulkenberg were out next and as
the early starters rolled down the back straight, Sainz and Vettel
rocked out of the pits. Hamilton set early purples, but they were
eclipsed by Bottas, sector by sector and it was a 1:11.227 for him
but Bottas took him to the cleaners, with a 1:10.857.
Raikkonen split the Mercedes as Vettel
chucked up purple after purple and it was P1 and a 1:10.776 as the
Red Bull finished up their out laps. Again, no purples but solid
green for both Ricciardo and Verstappen, and it was 1:11.281 and P6
for Ricky Danny, and P4 with a 1:10.904 for Max, ahead of Hamilton.
Hulkenberg bested Sainz and neither Force India chose to set a time
as they turned it around for the last tilt at the palmares.
Perez, Ocon, Sainz Hulkenberg were out
with just over 2 minutes left in the session for their personal
struggle. Then Raikkonen, Hamilton, Bottas, Vettel Ricciardo and
finally Verstappen rolled out line astern to have their say.
Perez and Ocon were halfway through
their laps, setting personal bests and then Raikkonen kicked it off
and immediately went wide at T2 chucking it out the window before he
even got started as the sharp end got under way. For a moment, it
looked like the Force India drivers might even catch up the sharp end
finishing their outlap, but that's what you get for taking the app
GPS too seriously. Ocon outpointed his teammate with a mighty S3,
taking enough advantage of the brute force of his Mercedes' PU to be
able to split the Renault's as well, who decidely had the advantage
in S2. Hulkenberg was just that bit quicker than Sainz in the last
sector, though, and managed to maintain his place as best of the
rest, whilst Sainz slipped behind the fast Frenchman of Force India.
Perez had a dismal final sector, and wound up nearly 0.5 seconds off
the back of Sainz.
Hamilton was all over it after Kimi
mucked it up, ahead of Vettel early on, but a lockup into T10 cost
him and it was P3 and a consistent inability to get round S3 as
Vettel brought it home with a 1:10.764. Verstappen meanwhile turned
S1 purple and was stealing focus like mad by not crashing things,
while Bottas, rocked it across the line in P2, mistake free and in a
most unassuming way. Verstappen kept on it, thrashing the car through
the lap, but the long back straight did him no favours. Despite this,
he was STILL able to slot it into P3, ahead of Hamilton, complicating
James Vowell's night considerably.
A masterful Montreal lap from Seb ⬇ #CanadianGP 🇨🇦 pic.twitter.com/dHtcJAC9dv— Formula 1 (@F1) June 9, 2018
Tomorrow's race is now full of all
kinds of interesting, Verstappen P3 combined with the fantastically
crashtastic T1-T2 complex should yield all sorts of excitement. With
passing a real possibility there should be plenty of action
throughout the field, especially from RoGro and Gasly near the back
with reasonable pace to deploy. Mercedes have been weak in traffic,
and should Lewis get stuck behind Verstappen it will go very bad for
him quickly. Still, with DRS and despite a non-updated PU, the Bulls
look vulnerable down the long straights. Less so will be his teammate
and the curiousity of how Mercedes will handle that is to be much
anticipated (plan B, Valterri?), should Bottas prove unable to get
round Vettel. Of course, said crashtastic start could easily upset
the apple cart but at the moment, Vettel and Ferrari look once again
like they have the package to beat and the real mysteries, and heart
of the competition lay in the midfield this round.
Discuss!!
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